As part of the RECONCILE campaign, microphysical modelling of the 2009/2010 Arctic winter campaigns was carried out by I. Engel and co-authors in a new ACPD article. They show that including newly developed NAT (Nitric Acid Trihydrate) and ice nucleation parameterisations as well as small-scale temperature fluctuations are vital to reproducing the observed signals of redistribution of water vapour in the Arctic stratosphere under the extremely cold conditions of the 2009/2010 winter. The full abstract can be found here.

In a recent ACP article, S.S. Dhomse and co authors use a chemical transport model (CTM) to show that the stratospheric and lower mesospheric ozone changes during solar cycle 23 (1996-2008) can be reproduced using several different solar spectral flux datasets (SORCE, SSI, SATIRE-S). Model results agree well with both MLS and SABER observations regardless of the solar flux data set used, suggesting that the UV variations detected by SORCE are not necessary to reproduce observed stratospheric ozone changes from 2001-2010 in a CTM. The full abstract can be found here.

M. Schoeberl and co-authors use forward trajectory modelling to investigate the processes influencing upper tropospheric/lower stratospheric (UTLS) water vapour anomalies. Examining the pathways taken by parcels from the base of the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) upwards, they find that the belt of TTL parcel origins is much wider than the final dehydration zone near the top of the TTL. In the lower stratosphere, the driest air parcels originate from the Tropical West Pacific where they dehydrate in the cold upper troposphere as they move upwards, while the wettest air parcels originate from the edge of this region as well as in the American and Asian monsoon regions in summer. The full abstract can be found here.

Over the last two decades of the 20^th century the southern hemisphere stratospheric stationary wave amplitude increased in late spring and early summer. Using the results from several chemistry-climate models, L. Wang and co-authors separate the effects of anthropogenic forcing from ozone-depleting substances (ODSs) and greenhouse gases (GHGs) on these changes. The increase in amplitude is reproduced in simulations with changing ODSs, a response related to changes in the strength and timing of the breakdown of the polar vortex. GHGs have little impact on the simulated stationary wave amplitude, but are projected to induce an eastward shift of the waves, which is linked to the strengthening of the subtropical jet. The full abstract can be found here.

A recent JGR article by A. Kunz and co-authors uses thirty years of balloon-borne measurements to investigate the water vapour trend in the tropopause region over Boulder, Colorado, USA. They apply two new concepts: trends are presented on a thermal tropopause (TP) relative coordinate system and sonde profiles are selected according to TP height. Although this should reduce the dynamically induced water vapour variability at the TP, their results suggest there is still significant uncertainty in trends at altitudes -2 to +4km around the TP. This uncertainty in turn has an influence on the uncertainty and interpretation of water vapour radiative effects at the TP, which are locally estimated for the 30-year period to be of uncertain sign. Their results also do not indicate any detectable decrease in water vapour at the beginning of 2001. However, on the lower stratospheric isentropes, the water vapour change for this period is stronger for extra-tropical than for tropical air mass types, suggesting a possible link to changing dynamics above the jet stream. The full abstract can be found here.

W. Yuan and co-authors investigate the influence of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) modulation of cold-point tropopause (CPT) temperatures. Using almost five decades of radiosonde data from eleven near-equatorial stations, they show that the ENSO influence on the QBO is quite zonally symmetric. The data indicate that the QBO has larger amplitude and longer period during La Niña conditions than during El Niño. Their results also indicate that the warmer CPT temperatures during QBO westerly shear conditions and colder temperatures during QBO easterly shear conditions, are larger during La Niña than during El Niño. This strengthens earlier findings that the greatest dehydration of air entering the stratosphere from the troposphere occurs during the winter under La Niña and easterly QBO conditions. The full abstract can be found here.

A new ACPD article by H. Zhang and co-authors investigates the effects of recovering stratospheric ozone on tropospheric chemistry and air quality using the global chemistry-transport model GEOS-Chem. They find that surface ozone photolysis rates decrease significantly while ozone lifetime in the troposphere increases by up to 7% and the tropospheric ozone burden increases slightly (0.78%). Perturbations of tropospheric and surface ozone show large seasonal and spatial variations, with increases of up to 5% for some regions. The full abstract can be found here.

Recent Arctic ozone loss has been linked with climate change resulting from increasing greenhouse gases. In a recent GRL paper, H. Rieder and co-authors provide evidence to the contrary, by focusing on the volume of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs), a simple proxy for polar ozone loss. Analysis of three reanalysis datasets and results from a stratosphere-resolving chemistry-climate model indicate no statistically significant trends in PSC volume, nor any change in their probability density functions, during the period 1979-2011. The full abstract can be found here.

Using both satellite observations and chemistry-climate models, C.I. Garfinkel and co-authors examine the zonal structure of tropical lower stratospheric temperature, water vapour, and ozone trends in a recent JGR article. Trends in both the tropical upper troposphere (warming) and lower stratosphere (cooling) have been strongest over the Indo-Pacific warm pool region and much weaker over the western and central Pacific. The model simulations suggest that the sea surface temperatures (SSTs) drive this zonal asymmetry with warming SSTs in the Indian Ocean and warm pool region having led to enhanced moist heating in the upper troposphere, and in turn to a Gill-like response that extends into the lower stratosphere. This has led to a zonal structure in ozone and water vapour trends and subsequently to less water vapour entering the stratosphere. Projected future SSTs drive a similar zonally-structure response in temperature and water vapour, which, for the lower stratosphere are similar in strength to that due directly to projected future CO2, ozone, and methane. The full abstract can be found here.

A recent GRL paper by M. McGillen and co-authors presents measurements of the CFC-11 (CFCl3) absorption spectrum over various wavelengths (184.95–230nm) and temperatures (216–296K). Uncertainty in the temperature dependence, particularly in the UV absorption spectrum, is a significant contributing factor of overall uncertainty in CFC-11’s global lifetime. They find that the spectrum temperature dependence is less than that currently in use and that this slightly reduces the CFC-11 lifetime calculated with a 2D model using a spectrum parameterization developed in this work. Find the full abstract here.