Category Archives: News

Science Update: Southern Hemisphere stationary wave response to changes of ozone and greenhouse gases

Over the last two decades of the 20th century the southern hemisphere stratospheric stationary wave amplitude increased in late spring and early summer. Using the results from several chemistry-climate models, L. Wang and co-authors separate the effects of anthropogenic forcing from ozone-depleting substances (ODSs) and greenhouse gases (GHGs) on these changes. The increase in amplitude is reproduced in simulations with changing ODSs, a response related to changes in the strength and timing of the breakdown of the polar vortex. GHGs have little impact on the simulated stationary wave amplitude, but are projected to induce an eastward shift of the waves, which is linked to the strengthening of the subtropical jet. The full abstract can be found here.

Science Update: Extending water vapour trend observations into the tropopause region: Trend uncertainties and resulting radiative forcing

A recent JGR article by A. Kunz and co-authors uses thirty years of balloon-borne measurements to investigate the water vapour trend in the tropopause region over Boulder, Colorado, USA. They apply two new concepts: trends are presented on a thermal tropopause (TP) relative coordinate system and sonde profiles are selected according to TP height. Although this should reduce the dynamically induced water vapour variability at the TP, their results suggest there is still significant uncertainty in trends at altitudes -2 to +4km around the TP. This uncertainty in turn has an influence on the uncertainty and interpretation of water vapour radiative effects at the TP, which are locally estimated for the 30-year period to be of uncertain sign. Their results also do not indicate any detectable decrease in water vapour at the beginning of 2001. However, on the lower stratospheric isentropes, the water vapour change for this period is stronger for extra-tropical than for tropical air mass types, suggesting a possible link to changing dynamics above the jet stream. The full abstract can be found here.

Science Update: ENSO influence on QBO modulations of the tropical tropopause

W. Yuan and co-authors investigate the influence of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) modulation of cold-point tropopause (CPT) temperatures. Using almost five decades of radiosonde data from eleven near-equatorial stations, they show that the ENSO influence on the QBO is quite zonally symmetric. The data indicate that the QBO has larger amplitude and longer period during La Niña conditions than during El Niño. Their results also indicate that the warmer CPT temperatures during QBO westerly shear conditions and colder temperatures during QBO easterly shear conditions, are larger during La Niña than during El Niño. This strengthens earlier findings that the greatest dehydration of air entering the stratosphere from the troposphere occurs during the winter under La Niña and easterly QBO conditions. The full abstract can be found here.

Science Update: Effects of stratospheric ozone recovery on tropospheric chemistry and air quality

A new ACPD article by H. Zhang and co-authors investigates the effects of recovering stratospheric ozone on tropospheric chemistry and air quality using the global chemistry-transport model GEOS-Chem. They find that surface ozone photolysis rates decrease significantly while ozone lifetime in the troposphere increases by up to 7% and the tropospheric ozone burden increases slightly (0.78%). Perturbations of tropospheric and surface ozone show large seasonal and spatial variations, with increases of up to 5% for some regions. The full abstract can be found here.

Science Update: Are recent Arctic ozone losses caused by increasing greenhouse gases?

Recent Arctic ozone loss has been linked with climate change resulting from increasing greenhouse gases. In a recent GRL paper, H. Rieder and co-authors provide evidence to the contrary, by focusing on the volume of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs), a simple proxy for polar ozone loss. Analysis of three reanalysis datasets and results from a stratosphere-resolving chemistry-climate model indicate no statistically significant trends in PSC volume, nor any change in their probability density functions, during the period 1979-2011. The full abstract can be found here.

IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Science Basis presented today

At a press conference held today in Stockholm, Sweden, the Summary for Policymakers of the Working Group I contribution of AR5 on Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis was presented by the Co-Chairs Dahe Qin and Thomas Stocker.

Find the presentation by Dahe Qin and Thomas Stocker, IPCC Working Group I Co-Chairs.

Find the Summary for Policy Makers and approved final draft of the Scientific-technical Report; of particular interest to the SPARC community are Chapter 2 on Observations: Atmosphere and Surface, and Chapter 7 on Clouds and Aerosols.

Science Update: Validation of monthly zonal mean ozone profiles from the SBUVv8.6 algorithm

A new ACP article by N.A. Kramarova and co-authors presents a validation of ozone profiles from the Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet (SBUV and SBUV/2) instruments that were recently reprocessed using an updated (version 8.6) algorithm. The SBUV data record covers the period 1970-2011, with a 5 year gap in the 1970s. Validation with MLS (on board the UARS and Aura satellites) and SAGE-II satellite observations, as well as ground-based observations from microwave spectrometers, lidars, Umkehr instruments and balloon-borne ozonesondes. They find that in the stratosphere, between 25 and 1 hPa, the mean biases and standard deviations are mostly within 5% for monthly zonal mean ozone profiles. Above and below this layer the vertical resolution of the SBUV algorithm decreases. In order to account for the lower resolution in the troposphere/lower stratosphere, they combine several layers of data. The drift of the SBUV instruments is also estimated, as well as its potential effect on the long-term stability of the combined data record. The features of individual SBUV(/2) instruments are discussed and recommendations for creating a merged SBUV data set are provided. The full abstract can be found here.

Science Update: Sensitivity of stratospheric dynamics to uncertainty in ozone production

A recent JGR article by J. Hsu and co-authors uses the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model to evaluate the sensitivity of stratospheric dynamics to the uncertainty in ozone production related to uncertainty in O2 cross-sections in the Hertzberg Continuum. Reducing the O2 cross-sections by 30% is found to increase ozone abundances in the lower stratosphere, which as a result warms between 60°S -60°N (2K maximum at the equator) and lowers the tropopause height by 100-200m between 30°S -30°N. The study points to the important role of ozone in the lower tropical stratosphere in determining the physical characteristics of the tropical tropopause layer. The full abstract can be found here.